Fossil Fuel Refinery Resuscitation Policy and the Implications for the Clean Energy Transition Plan in Nigeria
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15642/ijps.2025.5.2.200-214Keywords:
Clean Energy,, Energy Transition, , Fossil Fuel Refinery,, Sustainable Development Goals,, Nigeria.Abstract
The Nigerian government’s planned resuscitation of fossil fuel refineries is expected to impact the country’s clean energy transition plan by influencing public acceptance of that policy. It remains unclear how the government will bridge this gap between fossil fuel revival and clean energy commitments. This study examines the drivers behind Nigeria’s refinery resuscitation policy and the policy’s implications for the nation’s clean energy transition. The analysis is grounded in Choice Theory, operating on the premise that behavior (including policy decisions) originates from within and is driven by attempts to satisfy basic needs, meaning policymakers choose their actions based on those needs[1]. The research method is a semi-systematic review (SSR), for which 20 peer-reviewed journal articles (published 2015–2024) were purposively selected. The findings indicate that several factors sustaining fossil fuel use globally are encouraging Nigeria’s refinery revival. These factors include the persistent international market demand for fossil fuels, the perceived non-substitutability of fossil fuels in economic and military contexts, supportive government policies, and the state’s failure to secure sufficient clean energy investment. Reviving refineries implies a continued supply of and demand for fossil fuels as primary energy sources in the near term. The study concludes that each country should contextualize its energy transition strategy according to its unique circumstances.Downloads
References
Abas, N., Kalair, A., & Khan, N. (2015). Review of fossil fuels and future energy technologies. Futures, 69,31-49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2015.03.003.
Achaw, O. W., & Danso-Boateng, E. (2021). Crude Oil Refinery and Refinery Products. In: Chemical and Process Industries. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-79139-1_9.
Adeleke, T. B., Igboanugo, A. C., & Chime, N. B. (2019). A factorial study of bottlenecks in Nigerian petroleum refineries. European Journal of Engineering Research and Science, 4(5), 98-101.
Adeniyi, F., & Isah, A. (2023). Unlocking renewables amid rentierism: Market constraints to Nigeria's energy transition. Energy Research and Social Science. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2023.103248.
Ahmed, Y. U., & Usman, M. (2023). Economic Analysis of the Potential benefits to Nigeria of the new Dangote Oil refinery. International Journal of Economic and Financial Management, 8(5), 43-71. DOI: 10.56201/ijefm.v8.no5.2023.pg43.71.
Albert, M. J. (2022). The global politics of the renewable energy transition and the non-substitutability hypothesis: towards a great transformation? Review of International Political Economy, 29(5), 1766-1781. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2021.1980418.
Anwadike, B. (2017). Kyoto Protocol and the challenges of implementation in Nigeria. Journal of Geography, Environmental and Earth Science International, 13(1), 1-9.
Barker, J. R., & Ross, M. H. (1999). An Introduction to Global Warming. American Journal of Physics, 67(12), 1216-1226.
Blazquez, J., Fuentes, R., & Manzano, B. (2020). On some economic principles of the energy transition. Energy Policy, 147(), 111807. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111807.
Breetz, H., Mildenberger, M., & Stokes, L. (2018). The political logics of clean energy transitions. Business and Politics, 20(4), 492-522.
Cakmak, E. E., & Acar, S. (2022). The nexus between economic growth, renewable energy and ecological footprint: An empirical evidence from most oil-producing countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.131548.
Cergibozan, R. (2022). Renewable energy sources as a solution for energy security risk: Empirical evidence from OECD countries. Renewable Energy, 183, 617-626. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2021.11.056.
Chanchangi, Y. N., Adu, F., Ghosh, A., Sundaram, S., & Mallick, T. K. (2023). Nigeria’s energy review: Focusing on solar energy potential and penetration. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 25, 5755-5796. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02308-4.
Desrina, R. (2010). Contribution of refinery carbon dioxide emission to global warming. Lemigas Scientific Contributions, 33(2), 151-154.
Ediger, V. S. (2019). An Integrated Review and Analysis of Multi-energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy. Energy Procedia, 156, 2-6.
Florides, G. A., & Christodoulides, P. (2009). Global Warming and carbon dioxide through the sciences. Environment International, 35, 390-401.
Hogselius, P. (2023). Chapter four: The political history of fossil fuels: coal, oil, and natural gas in global perspective. Political Science and Public Policy, 67-83. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781800370432.00009.
Iheukwumere, O., Moore, D., & Omotayo, T. (2021). A meta‑analysis of multiple factors leading to performance challenges across Nigeria’s state‑owned refineries. Applied Petrochemical Research, 11, 183-197.
Iheukwumere, O., Moore, D., & Omotayo, T. (2023). Analysis of multi-factors affecting the performance of Nigeria's refineries: a systems thinking approach. International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, 72(3), 679-709. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-11-2020-0585.
Itumo, A., & Onyejiuba, E. I. (2019). Oil Subsidy and Development of Local Refineries in Nigeria: A Critical Analysis. African Journal of Politics and Administrative Studies, 12(1), 106-121.
Jesuleye, O. A., Siyanbola, W. O., Sanni, S. A., & Ilori, M. O. (2007). Energy demand analysis of Port-Harcourt refinery, Nigeria and its policy implications. Energy Policy, 35, 1338-1345.
Ma, S., Lei, T., Meng, J., Liang, X., & Guan, D. (2022). Global oil refining’s contribution to greenhouse gas emissions from 2000 to 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100361.
Meckling, J., & Hughes, L. (2017). Protecting Solar: Global Supply Chains and Business Power. New Political Economy, 23(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2017.1330878.
Melamid, A. (1968). The geography of the Nigerian petroleum industry. Economic Geography, 44(1), 37-56.
Nizetic, S., Arici, M., & Hoang, A. T. (2023). Smart and sustainable Technologies in energy transition. Journal of Cleaner Production, 389(20). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.135944.
Nwofor, A. Oshewolo, S., Owoeye, G., & Okidu, O. (2021). Nigeria’s quest for alternative clean energy development: A conweb of opportunities, pitfalls, and multiple dilemmas. Energy Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112070.
Ogbon, N. O., Otanocha, O. B., & Rim-Rukeh, A. (2018). An Assessment of the economic viability and competitiveness of the modular refinery in Nigeria. Nigeria Journal of Technology, 37(4), 1015-1025.
Ogbuigwe, A. (2018). Refining in Nigeria: history, challenges and prospects. Applied Petrochemical Research, 8, 181-192.
Omoregie, U. (2019). Nigeria’s petroleum sector and GDP: The missing oil refining link. Journal of Advances in Economics and Finance, 4(1), 1-9. https://dx.doi.org/10.22606/jaef.2019.41001.
Ostadzadeh, E., Elshorbagy, A., Tuninetti, M., Laio, F., & Abdelkader, A. (2023). Who will dominate the global fossil fuel trade? Economic Systems Research, 23(3), 354-375. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2023.2174002.
Pan, Y., Yao, X., Wang, X., & Zhu, L. (2019). Policy uncertainties: What investment choice for solar panel producers? Energy Economics, 78, 454-467.
Peterson, A. V. (2000). Choice theory and reality therapy. TCA Journal, 28(1), 41-49. https://doi.org/10.1080/15564223.2000.12034563.
Somoye, O. A. (2023). Energy Crisis and Renewable Energy Potentials in Nigeria: A Review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113794.
Synder, H. (2019). Literature review as a research methodology: An overview and guidelines. Journal of Business Research, 104, 333-339. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.07.039.
Umeodinka, N. (2024). Enhancing Clean Energy Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Nigerian States.
Umukoro, N. (2018). Homegrown Solution to African Problem: Harnessing Innovation for Petroleum Refining in Nigeria. Strategic Planning for Energy and the Environment, 37(4), 58-73. https://doi.org/10.1080/10485236.2018.12002426.
Vogt, E.T.C., & Weckhuysen, B.M. (2024). The refinery of the future. Nature, 629, 295–306. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07322-2.
Wang, W., Fan, L. W., & Zhou, P. (2022). Evolution of global fossil fuel trade dependencies. Energy, 238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121924
York, R. & Bell, S. E. (2019). Energy transitions or additions? Why does a transition from fossil fuels require more than the growth of renewable energy? Energy Research and Social Science, 51, 40-43.
Zhong, W., An, H., Shen, L., Dai, T., Fang, W., Gao, X., & Dong, D. (2017). Global pattern of the international fossil fuel trade: The evolution of communities. Energy, 123, 260-270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.02.033.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Rotimi Adeforiti

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.





